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Pistons vs Suns prediction NBA · Thursday, January 29

FinalMortgage Matchup Center · FanDuel SN DET, NBA League Pass, Arizona's Family 3TV, Suns Live
56% win DETwin PHX 44%
FavoriteDET
Projected margin1.7
Projected total227
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Phoenix Suns (28-19) host the Detroit Pistons (34-11) on Thursday, January 29 at 9:00 PM ET at Mortgage Matchup Center in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 96 – Suns 114. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 56% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Suns are 15-6 at home and the Pistons are 15-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Suns and 8-2 for the Pistons (current streaks: Suns W1, Pistons W2).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Suns 113 – 114 Pistons, a margin of about 1.7 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+1.1 vs +5.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Suns need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Suns
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHX +1.1 / DET +5.2 per game
-4.0
Home-court advantageSuns at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Suns
-1.7

Scenarios

Suns win by 10+
17%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Pistons win by 10+
25%

Stat comparison Current season

DETPHX
116.9
Points scored / game
113.9
110.8
Points allowed / game
112.6
45.9 %
Field goal %
45.6 %
37.9 %
3-point %
31.9 %
36.4
3-pointers attempted / game
39.7
74.4 %
Free throw %
73.9 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
39.7
27.0
Assists / game
25.3
8.0
Steals / game
8.7
7.2
Blocks / game
5.3
15.6
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Pistons
Cade CunninghamG · #226pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #27assists
Jalen DurenC · #013rebounds
Suns
Dillon BrooksF · #340pts / game
Grayson AllenG · #85assists
Oso IghodaroF · #119rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DET
No games played yet.
PHX
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

DETPHX
34-11Record28-19
116.9Points scored / game113.9
110.8Points allowed / game112.6
+5.2Adjusted margin / game+1.1
W2Current streakW1
8-2Last 10 games6-4
15-6 roadHome / road record15-6 home
44-38 (+1.9)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Phoenix Suns Injury report Suns

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.