Pistons vs Suns prediction NBA · Thursday, January 29
At a glance
The Phoenix Suns (28-19) host the Detroit Pistons (34-11) on Thursday, January 29 at 9:00 PM ET at Mortgage Matchup Center in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 96 – Suns 114. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 56% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Suns are 15-6 at home and the Pistons are 15-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Suns and 8-2 for the Pistons (current streaks: Suns W1, Pistons W2).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Suns 113 – 114 Pistons, a margin of about 1.7 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+1.1 vs +5.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Suns need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DETPHX
Top performers
Pistons
Cade CunninghamG · #226pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #27assists
Jalen DurenC · #013rebounds
Suns
Dillon BrooksF · #340pts / game
Grayson AllenG · #85assists
Oso IghodaroF · #119reboundsRecent form
DET
PHXTeam comparison
| DET | PHX | |
|---|---|---|
| 34-11 | Record | 28-19 |
| 116.9 | Points scored / game | 113.9 |
| 110.8 | Points allowed / game | 112.6 |
| +5.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.1 |
| W2 | Current streak | W1 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 15-6 road | Home / road record | 15-6 home |
| 44-38 (+1.9) | Last season | 36-46 (-3.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pistons
Injury report Suns
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.
PHX