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Suns vs Pistons prediction NBA · Thursday, January 15

FinalLittle Caesars Arena · FanDuel SN DET, Arizona's Family 3TV, Suns Live, NBA League Pass
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns
24-17 · away
Final score
105-108
Projected: 111-117
Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons
29-10 · home
32% win PHXwin DET 68%
FavoriteDET
Projected margin5.8
Projected total228
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Detroit Pistons (28-10) host the Phoenix Suns (24-16) on Thursday, January 15 at 7:00 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena in NBA action. Final score: Suns 105 – Pistons 108. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 68% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pistons are 15-4 at home and the Suns are 10-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Pistons and 7-3 for the Suns (current streaks: Pistons L1, Suns L1).

The analysis Model

The Pistons are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Pistons 117 – 111 Suns, a margin of about 5.8 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Suns need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pistons
Team strength (adjusted point differential)DET +4.7 / PHX +1.2 per game
+3.5
Home-court advantagePistons at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Pistons
+5.8

Scenarios

Pistons win by 10+
37%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Suns win by 10+
10%

Stat comparison Current season

PHXDET
114.5
Points scored / game
117.3
113.2
Points allowed / game
111.8
45.6 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
31.9 %
3-point %
37.9 %
39.7
3-pointers attempted / game
36.4
73.9 %
Free throw %
74.4 %
39.7
Rebounds / game
46.8
25.3
Assists / game
27.0
8.7
Steals / game
8.0
5.3
Blocks / game
7.2
14.0
Turnovers / game
15.6

Top performers

Suns
Grayson AllenG · #833pts / game
Royce O'NealeF · #007assists
Jordan GoodwinG · #2312rebounds
Pistons
Duncan RobinsonF · #5519pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #211assists
Jalen DurenC · #018rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHX
No games played yet.
DET
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

PHXDET
24-16Record28-10
114.5Points scored / game117.3
113.2Points allowed / game111.8
+1.2Adjusted margin / game+4.7
L1Current streakL1
7-3Last 10 games6-4
10-11 roadHome / road record15-4 home
36-46 (-3.0)Last season44-38 (+1.9)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Phoenix Suns Injury report Suns

No injuries reported.

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.