Nets vs Nuggets prediction NBA · Thursday, January 29
At a glance
The Denver Nuggets (31-16) host the Brooklyn Nets (12-33) on Thursday, January 29 at 9:00 PM ET at Ball Arena in NBA action. Final score: Nets 103 – Nuggets 107. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 83% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nuggets are 12-9 at home and the Nets are 6-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Nuggets and 1-9 for the Nets (current streaks: Nuggets L1, Nets L6).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Nuggets dominate this matchup. The model projects Nuggets 121 – 109 Nets, a margin of about 11.9 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+3.6 vs -6.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (120.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
BKNDEN
Top performers
Nets
Michael Porter Jr.F · #1738pts / game
Nic ClaxtonC · #97assistsMichael Porter Jr.F · #1710reboundsNuggets
Jamal MurrayG · #2727pts / gameJamal MurrayG · #276assists
Jonas ValanciunasC · #179reboundsRecent form
BKNDEN
DEN
Team comparison
| BKN | DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| 12-33 | Record | 31-16 |
| 107.2 | Points scored / game | 120.4 |
| 114.3 | Points allowed / game | 116.2 |
| -6.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.6 |
| L6 | Current streak | L1 |
| 1-9 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 6-16 road | Home / road record | 12-9 home |
| 26-56 (-7.1) | Last season | 50-32 (+3.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Nets
Injury report Nuggets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.