Nuggets vs Nets prediction NBA · Sunday, January 4
At a glance
The Brooklyn Nets (10-22) host the Denver Nuggets (23-11) on Sunday, January 4 at 3:30 PM ET at Barclays Center in NBA action. Final score: Nuggets 115 – Nets 127. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 73% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Nets are 4-13 at home and the Nuggets are 13-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Nets and 5-5 for the Nuggets (current streaks: Nets L3, Nuggets L1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Nuggets dominate this matchup. The model projects Nets 112 – 120 Nuggets, a margin of about 7.8 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-5.0 vs +5.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (123.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Nets' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.7 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DENBKN
Top performers
Nuggets
Jamal MurrayG · #2727pts / gameJamal MurrayG · #2716assistsJamal MurrayG · #276reboundsNets
Michael Porter Jr.F · #1727pts / game
Terance MannG · #146assistsMichael Porter Jr.F · #1711reboundsRecent form
DENBKN
DEN
Team comparison
| DEN | BKN | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-11 | Record | 10-22 |
| 123.6 | Points scored / game | 107.9 |
| 117.6 | Points allowed / game | 113.7 |
| +5.1 | Adjusted margin / game | -5.0 |
| L1 | Current streak | L3 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 13-6 road | Home / road record | 4-13 home |
| 50-32 (+3.9) | Last season | 26-56 (-7.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Nuggets
Injury report Nets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.