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Kings vs Knicks prediction NBA · Tuesday, January 27

FinalMadison Square Garden · MSG, DAZN (MSG), NBC Sports CA, NBA League Pass
15% win SACwin NY 85%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin12.7
Projected total231
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The New York Knicks (28-18) host the Sacramento Kings (12-35) on Tuesday, January 27 at 7:30 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: Kings 87 – Knicks 103. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 85% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Knicks are 18-6 at home and the Kings are 3-19 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Knicks and 4-6 for the Kings (current streaks: Knicks W2, Kings L5).

The analysis Model

The Knicks start with a clear edge. The model projects Knicks 122 – 109 Kings, a margin of about 12.7 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+3.6 vs -6.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' offense (117.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.2 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Knicks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NY +3.6 / SAC -6.8 per game
+10.4
Home-court advantageKnicks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Knicks
+12.7

Scenarios

Knicks win by 10+
59%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
19%
Kings win by 10+
3%

Stat comparison Current season

SACNY
111.9
Points scored / game
117.5
120.0
Points allowed / game
113.2
44.5 %
Field goal %
42.2 %
30.0 %
3-point %
35.9 %
32.5
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
73.1 %
Free throw %
75.8 %
41.5
Rebounds / game
48.2
22.8
Assists / game
26.8
6.8
Steals / game
7.2
2.5
Blocks / game
4.4
14.3
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Kings
DeMar DeRozanG · #1034pts / game
Domantas SabonisF · #117assists
Domantas SabonisF · #1112rebounds
Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1128pts / game
Mikal BridgesG · #255assists
Mitchell RobinsonC · #413rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
SAC
No games played yet.
NY
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

SACNY
12-35Record28-18
111.9Points scored / game117.5
120.0Points allowed / game113.2
-6.8Adjusted margin / game+3.6
L5Current streakW2
4-6Last 10 games4-6
3-19 roadHome / road record18-6 home
40-42 (+0.5)Last season51-31 (+4.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Sacramento Kings Injury report Kings

No injuries reported.

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.