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Knicks vs Kings prediction NBA · Wednesday, January 14

FinalGolden 1 Center · MSG2, NBA League Pass, NBC Sports CA
76% win NYwin SAC 24%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin8.7
Projected total232
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Sacramento Kings (10-30) host the New York Knicks (26-14) on Wednesday, January 14 at 10:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. Final score: Knicks 101 – Kings 112. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 76% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Kings are 7-13 at home and the Knicks are 9-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Kings and 5-5 for the Knicks (current streaks: Kings W2, Knicks W1).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Knicks dominate this matchup. The model projects Kings 112 – 120 Knicks, a margin of about 8.7 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (-7.1 vs +3.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' offense (118.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.1 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Kings
Team strength (adjusted point differential)SAC -7.1 / NY +3.9 per game
-11.0
Home-court advantageKings at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Kings
-8.7

Scenarios

Kings win by 10+
7%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
25%
Knicks win by 10+
46%

Stat comparison Current season

NYSAC
118.7
Points scored / game
111.4
114.1
Points allowed / game
119.8
42.2 %
Field goal %
44.5 %
35.9 %
3-point %
30.0 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
32.5
75.8 %
Free throw %
73.1 %
48.2
Rebounds / game
41.5
26.8
Assists / game
22.8
7.2
Steals / game
6.8
4.4
Blocks / game
2.5
14.8
Turnovers / game
14.3

Top performers

Knicks
Mikal BridgesG · #2519pts / game
Miles McBrideG · #26assists
Mitchell RobinsonC · #411rebounds
Kings
DeMar DeRozanG · #1027pts / game
Russell WestbrookG · #1811assists
Precious AchiuwaF · #914rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NY
No games played yet.
SAC
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

NYSAC
26-14Record10-30
118.7Points scored / game111.4
114.1Points allowed / game119.8
+3.9Adjusted margin / game-7.1
W1Current streakW2
5-5Last 10 games3-7
9-10 roadHome / road record7-13 home
51-31 (+4.1)Last season40-42 (+0.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Sacramento Kings Injury report Kings

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.