Trail Blazers vs Celtics prediction NBA · Monday, January 26
At a glance
The Boston Celtics (28-17) host the Portland Trail Blazers (23-23) on Monday, January 26 at 8:00 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: Trail Blazers 94 – Celtics 102. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 79% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Celtics are 13-7 at home and the Trail Blazers are 10-12 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Celtics and 7-3 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Celtics L1, Trail Blazers L1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Celtics dominate this matchup. The model projects Celtics 120 – 110 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 10.1 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+6.1 vs -1.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.6 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PORBOS
Top performers
Trail Blazers
Jerami GrantF · #319pts / game
Caleb LoveG · #85assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2315rebounds
Celtics
Payton PritchardG · #1123pts / game
Neemias QuetaC · #886assists
Jaylen BrownG · #78reboundsRecent form
POR
BOSTeam comparison
| POR | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-23 | Record | 28-17 |
| 115.0 | Points scored / game | 116.8 |
| 117.0 | Points allowed / game | 109.6 |
| -1.7 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.1 |
| L1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 10-12 road | Home / road record | 13-7 home |
| 36-46 (-3.0) | Last season | 61-21 (+9.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Trail Blazers
Injury report Celtics
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.
BOS