Celtics vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Sunday, December 28
At a glance
The Portland Trail Blazers (12-19) host the Boston Celtics (19-11) on Sunday, December 28 at 6:00 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. Final score: Celtics 108 – Trail Blazers 114. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 71% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Trail Blazers are 5-9 at home and the Celtics are 9-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Trail Blazers and 8-2 for the Celtics (current streaks: Trail Blazers L3, Celtics W4).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Celtics, but the Trail Blazers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Trail Blazers 112 – 118 Celtics, a margin of about 6.9 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-3.0 vs +6.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
BOSPOR
Top performers
Celtics
Jaylen BrownG · #737pts / game
Derrick WhiteG · #95assists
Neemias QuetaC · #888rebounds
Trail Blazers
Shaedon SharpeG · #1726pts / game
Deni AvdijaF · #810assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2318reboundsRecent form
BOS
PORTeam comparison
| BOS | POR | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-11 | Record | 12-19 |
| 116.6 | Points scored / game | 115.0 |
| 109.5 | Points allowed / game | 118.6 |
| +6.1 | Adjusted margin / game | -3.0 |
| W4 | Current streak | L3 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 9-6 road | Home / road record | 5-9 home |
| 61-21 (+9.1) | Last season | 36-46 (-3.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Celtics
Injury report Trail Blazers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.
BOS