Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Kings vs Pistons prediction NBA · Sunday, January 25

FinalLittle Caesars Arena · FanDuel SN DET, NBC Sports CA, NBA League Pass
13% win SACwin DET 87%
FavoriteDET
Projected margin13.9
Projected total229
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Detroit Pistons (32-11) host the Sacramento Kings (12-34) on Sunday, January 25 at 3:00 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena in NBA action. Final score: Kings 116 – Pistons 139. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 87% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pistons are 18-5 at home and the Kings are 3-18 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Pistons and 4-6 for the Kings (current streaks: Pistons L1, Kings L4).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Pistons dominate this matchup. The model projects Pistons 122 – 108 Kings, a margin of about 13.9 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+5.0 vs -6.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pistons' offense (116.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.7 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pistons
Team strength (adjusted point differential)DET +5.0 / SAC -6.6 per game
+11.6
Home-court advantagePistons at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Pistons
+13.9

Scenarios

Pistons win by 10+
62%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
17%
Kings win by 10+
3%

Stat comparison Current season

SACDET
111.9
Points scored / game
116.6
119.6
Points allowed / game
110.7
44.5 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
30.0 %
3-point %
37.9 %
32.5
3-pointers attempted / game
36.4
73.1 %
Free throw %
74.4 %
41.5
Rebounds / game
46.8
22.8
Assists / game
27.0
6.8
Steals / game
8.0
2.5
Blocks / game
7.2
14.3
Turnovers / game
15.6

Top performers

Kings
Malik MonkG · #019pts / game
Domantas SabonisF · #118assists
Dylan CardwellC · #329rebounds
Pistons
Cade CunninghamG · #229pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #211assists
Isaiah StewartC · #288rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
SAC
No games played yet.
DET
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

DET lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

SACDET
12-34Record32-11
111.9Points scored / game116.6
119.6Points allowed / game110.7
-6.6Adjusted margin / game+5.0
L4Current streakL1
4-6Last 10 games7-3
3-18 roadHome / road record18-5 home
40-42 (+0.5)Last season44-38 (+1.9)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Sacramento Kings Injury report Kings

No injuries reported.

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.