Pistons vs Kings prediction NBA · Tuesday, December 23
At a glance
The Sacramento Kings (7-22) host the Detroit Pistons (23-6) on Tuesday, December 23 at 10:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 136 – Kings 127. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 71% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Kings are 4-9 at home and the Pistons are 10-4 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Kings and 8-2 for the Pistons (current streaks: Kings W1, Pistons W2).
The analysis Model
The Pistons are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Kings 112 – 118 Pistons, a margin of about 6.9 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Pistons played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-6.2 vs +4.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Pistons' offense (117.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DETSAC
Top performers
Pistons
Tobias HarrisF · #2324pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #214assists
Jalen DurenC · #013reboundsKings
DeMar DeRozanG · #1037pts / gameDeMar DeRozanG · #108assists
Precious AchiuwaF · #912reboundsRecent form
DETSAC
DET
Team comparison
| DET | SAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-6 | Record | 7-22 |
| 117.7 | Points scored / game | 112.7 |
| 112.3 | Points allowed / game | 120.0 |
| +4.6 | Adjusted margin / game | -6.2 |
| W2 | Current streak | W1 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 10-4 road | Home / road record | 4-9 home |
| 44-38 (+1.9) | Last season | 40-42 (+0.5) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pistons
Injury report Kings
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.