Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Raptors vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Friday, January 23

FinalModa Center · KUNP 16, BlazerVision, TSN, NBA League Pass
54% win TORwin POR 46%
FavoriteTOR
Projected margin1.4
Projected total228
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Portland Trail Blazers (23-22) host the Toronto Raptors (27-19) on Friday, January 23 at 10:00 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 110 – Trail Blazers 98. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Raptors a 54% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Trail Blazers are 13-10 at home and the Raptors are 14-9 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Trail Blazers and 6-4 for the Raptors (current streaks: Trail Blazers W4, Raptors W2).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Trail Blazers 113 – 115 Raptors, a margin of about 1.4 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Trail Blazers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Raptors' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Trail Blazers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)POR -1.5 / TOR +0.5 per game
-2.1
Home-court advantageTrail Blazers at home
+2.3
Back-to-backTrail Blazers played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Trail Blazers
-1.4

Scenarios

Trail Blazers win by 10+
18%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Raptors win by 10+
24%

Stat comparison Current season

TORPOR
113.6
Points scored / game
115.3
113.0
Points allowed / game
117.1
44.2 %
Field goal %
51.1 %
30.4 %
3-point %
38.9 %
34.5
3-pointers attempted / game
43.7
79.0 %
Free throw %
70.8 %
45.8
Rebounds / game
46.3
27.3
Assists / game
30.7
14.3
Steals / game
8.3
5.5
Blocks / game
2.7
14.0
Turnovers / game
13.3

Top performers

Raptors
Sandro MamukelashviliF · #5422pts / game
Immanuel QuickleyG · #57assists
Scottie BarnesF · #49rebounds
Trail Blazers
Shaedon SharpeG · #1721pts / game
Jrue HolidayG · #57assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2316rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
TOR
No games played yet.
POR
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

TOR lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

TORPOR
27-19Record23-22
113.6Points scored / game115.3
113.0Points allowed / game117.1
+0.5Adjusted margin / game-1.5
W2Current streakW4
6-4Last 10 games8-2
14-9 roadHome / road record13-10 home
30-52 (-4.3)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Toronto Raptors Injury report Raptors

No injuries reported.

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.