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Trail Blazers vs Raptors prediction NBA · Tuesday, December 2

FinalScotiabank Arena · TSN, BlazerVision, NBA League Pass
32% win PORwin TOR 68%
FavoriteTOR
Projected margin6.0
Projected total231
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Toronto Raptors (14-7) host the Portland Trail Blazers (8-12) on Tuesday, December 2 at 7:30 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in NBA action. Final score: Trail Blazers 118 – Raptors 121. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Raptors a 68% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Raptors are 7-2 at home and the Trail Blazers are 5-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Raptors and 3-7 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Raptors L2, Trail Blazers L2).

The analysis Model

The Raptors are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Raptors 119 – 113 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 6.0 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Raptors' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.7 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Raptors
Team strength (adjusted point differential)TOR +1.2 / POR -2.5 per game
+3.7
Home-court advantageRaptors at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Raptors
+6.0

Scenarios

Raptors win by 10+
37%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Trail Blazers win by 10+
10%

Stat comparison Current season

PORTOR
115.5
Points scored / game
115.1
118.4
Points allowed / game
113.7
51.1 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
38.9 %
3-point %
30.4 %
43.7
3-pointers attempted / game
34.5
70.8 %
Free throw %
79.0 %
46.3
Rebounds / game
45.8
30.7
Assists / game
27.3
8.3
Steals / game
14.3
2.7
Blocks / game
5.5
13.3
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Trail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #825pts / game
Deni AvdijaF · #814assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2311rebounds
Raptors
Scottie BarnesF · #428pts / game
Immanuel QuickleyG · #58assists
Scottie BarnesF · #47rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
POR
No games played yet.
TOR
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

TOR lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

PORTOR
8-12Record14-7
115.5Points scored / game115.1
118.4Points allowed / game113.7
-2.5Adjusted margin / game+1.2
L2Current streakL2
3-7Last 10 games8-2
5-6 roadHome / road record7-2 home
36-46 (-3.0)Last season30-52 (-4.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Toronto Raptors Injury report Raptors

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.