Nuggets vs Bucks prediction NBA · Friday, January 23
At a glance
The Milwaukee Bucks (18-25) host the Denver Nuggets (30-15) on Friday, January 23 at 9:30 PM ET at Fiserv Forum in NBA action. Final score: Nuggets 102 – Bucks 100. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 56% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bucks are 9-11 at home and the Nuggets are 18-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Bucks and 7-3 for the Nuggets (current streaks: Bucks L1, Nuggets W1).
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Bucks 115 – 117 Nuggets, a margin of about 1.8 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Nuggets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-1.9 vs +3.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Bucks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (121.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DENMIL
Top performers
Nuggets
Julian StrawtherG · #120pts / game
Jalen PickettG · #217assists
Zeke NnajiF · #2212reboundsBucks
Giannis AntetokounmpoF · #722pts / gameGiannis AntetokounmpoF · #77assistsGiannis AntetokounmpoF · #713reboundsRecent form
DENMIL
MIL
Team comparison
| DEN | MIL | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-15 | Record | 18-25 |
| 121.0 | Points scored / game | 112.9 |
| 116.6 | Points allowed / game | 115.2 |
| +3.7 | Adjusted margin / game | -1.9 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 18-7 road | Home / road record | 9-11 home |
| 50-32 (+3.9) | Last season | 48-34 (+2.5) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Nuggets
Injury report Bucks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.