Bucks vs Nuggets prediction NBA · Sunday, January 11
At a glance
The Denver Nuggets (25-13) host the Milwaukee Bucks (17-21) on Sunday, January 11 at 8:00 PM ET at Ball Arena in NBA action. Final score: Bucks 104 – Nuggets 108. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 72% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nuggets are 10-6 at home and the Bucks are 8-12 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Nuggets and 6-4 for the Bucks (current streaks: Nuggets L1, Bucks W1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Nuggets dominate this matchup. The model projects Nuggets 121 – 113 Bucks, a margin of about 7.4 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+4.2 vs -0.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Bucks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (122.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MILDEN
Top performers
Bucks
Giannis AntetokounmpoF · #731pts / gameGiannis AntetokounmpoF · #711assists
Kevin Porter Jr.G · #79reboundsNuggets
Tim Hardaway Jr.G · #1025pts / game
Peyton WatsonG · #86assists
Zeke NnajiF · #2210reboundsRecent form
MILDEN
MIL
Team comparison
| MIL | DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| 17-21 | Record | 25-13 |
| 113.7 | Points scored / game | 122.5 |
| 114.7 | Points allowed / game | 117.6 |
| -0.9 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.2 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 8-12 road | Home / road record | 10-6 home |
| 48-34 (+2.5) | Last season | 50-32 (+3.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Bucks
Injury report Nuggets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.