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Suns vs Hawks prediction NBA · Friday, January 23

FinalState Farm Arena · FanDuel SN SE, Arizona's Family 3TV, Suns Live, NBA League Pass
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns
27-18 · away
Final score
103-110
Projected: 117-116
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks
22-25 · home
51% win PHXwin ATL 49%
FavoritePHX
Projected margin0.2
Projected total232
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Atlanta Hawks (21-25) host the Phoenix Suns (27-17) on Friday, January 23 at 7:30 PM ET at State Farm Arena in NBA action. Final score: Suns 103 – Hawks 110. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Suns a 51% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Hawks are 7-13 at home and the Suns are 13-12 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Hawks and 7-3 for the Suns (current streaks: Hawks W1, Suns W3).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Hawks 116 – 117 Suns, a margin of about 0.2 points in favor of the Suns and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Hawks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Hawks' offense (117.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Suns' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.8 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hawks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ATL -1.2 / PHX +1.4 per game
-2.5
Home-court advantageHawks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Hawks
-0.2

Scenarios

Hawks win by 10+
21%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Suns win by 10+
22%

Stat comparison Current season

PHXATL
114.5
Points scored / game
117.7
112.8
Points allowed / game
119.1
45.6 %
Field goal %
46.9 %
31.9 %
3-point %
34.8 %
39.7
3-pointers attempted / game
41.4
73.9 %
Free throw %
72.8 %
39.7
Rebounds / game
41.4
25.3
Assists / game
32.2
8.7
Steals / game
10.2
5.3
Blocks / game
3.6
14.0
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Suns
Devin BookerG · #1531pts / game
Jordan GoodwinG · #235assists
Oso IghodaroF · #117rebounds
Hawks
Onyeka OkongwuF · #1725pts / game
Jalen JohnsonF · #19assists
Jalen JohnsonF · #118rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHX
No games played yet.
ATL
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

ATL lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

PHXATL
27-17Record21-25
114.5Points scored / game117.7
112.8Points allowed / game119.1
+1.4Adjusted margin / game-1.2
W3Current streakW1
7-3Last 10 games4-6
13-12 roadHome / road record7-13 home
36-46 (-3.0)Last season40-42 (-1.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Phoenix Suns Injury report Suns

No injuries reported.

Atlanta Hawks Injury report Hawks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.