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Hawks vs Suns prediction NBA · Sunday, November 16

FinalMortgage Matchup Center · FanDuel SN SE, NBA League Pass, Arizona's Family 3TV, Suns Live
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks
9-5 · away
Final score
124-122
Projected: 115-117
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns
8-6 · home
43% win ATLwin PHX 57%
FavoritePHX
Projected margin2.1
Projected total233
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Phoenix Suns (8-5) host the Atlanta Hawks (8-5) on Sunday, November 16 at 8:00 PM ET at Mortgage Matchup Center in NBA action. Final score: Hawks 124 – Suns 122. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Suns a 57% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Suns are 6-1 at home and the Hawks are 6-2 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Suns and 7-3 for the Hawks (current streaks: Suns W5, Hawks W4).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Suns 117 – 115 Hawks, a margin of about 2.1 points in favor of the Suns and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Hawks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Suns
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHX +1.0 / ATL +1.2 per game
-0.2
Home-court advantageSuns at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Suns
+2.1

Scenarios

Suns win by 10+
26%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Hawks win by 10+
17%

Stat comparison Current season

ATLPHX
117.6
Points scored / game
116.2
116.2
Points allowed / game
115.1
46.9 %
Field goal %
45.6 %
34.8 %
3-point %
31.9 %
41.4
3-pointers attempted / game
39.7
72.8 %
Free throw %
73.9 %
41.4
Rebounds / game
39.7
32.2
Assists / game
25.3
10.2
Steals / game
8.7
3.6
Blocks / game
5.3
14.0
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Hawks
Onyeka OkongwuF · #1727pts / game
Dyson DanielsG · #512assists
Jalen JohnsonF · #110rebounds
Suns
Dillon BrooksF · #334pts / game
Devin BookerG · #157assists
Collin GillespieG · #128rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ATL
No games played yet.
PHX
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

ATL lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

ATLPHX
8-5Record8-5
117.6Points scored / game116.2
116.2Points allowed / game115.1
+1.2Adjusted margin / game+1.0
W4Current streakW5
7-3Last 10 games7-3
6-2 roadHome / road record6-1 home
40-42 (-1.1)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Atlanta Hawks Injury report Hawks

No injuries reported.

Phoenix Suns Injury report Suns

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.