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Bulls vs Timberwolves prediction NBA · Thursday, January 22

FinalTarget Center · CHSN, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN North
25% win CHIwin MIN 75%
FavoriteMIN
Projected margin8.3
Projected total235
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Minnesota Timberwolves (27-17) host the Chicago Bulls (21-22) on Thursday, January 22 at 8:00 PM ET at Target Center in NBA action. Final score: Bulls 120 – Timberwolves 115. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 75% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Timberwolves are 15-6 at home and the Bulls are 7-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Timberwolves and 5-5 for the Bulls (current streaks: Timberwolves L3, Bulls W2).

The analysis Model

The Timberwolves start with a clear edge. The model projects Timberwolves 122 – 113 Bulls, a margin of about 8.3 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (+4.3 vs -1.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Timberwolves' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.8 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Timberwolves
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIN +4.3 / CHI -1.7 per game
+6.0
Home-court advantageTimberwolves at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Timberwolves
+8.3

Scenarios

Timberwolves win by 10+
45%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
25%
Bulls win by 10+
7%

Stat comparison Current season

CHIMIN
117.9
Points scored / game
118.8
119.9
Points allowed / game
113.8
42.1 %
Field goal %
47.3 %
27.6 %
3-point %
38.4 %
42.0
3-pointers attempted / game
40.6
78.6 %
Free throw %
62.7 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
51.6
24.4
Assists / game
27.0
9.0
Steals / game
9.2
4.8
Blocks / game
4.4
17.8
Turnovers / game
16.2

Top performers

Bulls
Coby WhiteG · #322pts / game
Tre JonesG · #307assists
Nikola VucevicC · #98rebounds
Timberwolves
Julius RandleF · #3030pts / game
Julius RandleF · #306assists
Rudy GobertC · #2711rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHI
No games played yet.
MIN
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

CHIMIN
21-22Record27-17
117.9Points scored / game118.8
119.9Points allowed / game113.8
-1.7Adjusted margin / game+4.3
W2Current streakL3
5-5Last 10 games6-4
7-13 roadHome / road record15-6 home
39-43 (-1.6)Last season49-33 (+5.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury report Timberwolves

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.