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Timberwolves vs Bulls prediction NBA · Monday, December 29

FinalUnited Center · CHSN, FanDuel SN North, NBA League Pass
62% win MINwin CHI 38%
FavoriteMIN
Projected margin3.7
Projected total235
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Chicago Bulls (15-16) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (20-12) on Monday, December 29 at 8:00 PM ET at United Center in NBA action. Final score: Timberwolves 136 – Bulls 101. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 62% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bulls are 8-7 at home and the Timberwolves are 8-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Bulls and 6-4 for the Timberwolves (current streaks: Bulls L1, Timberwolves L2).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Timberwolves, but the Bulls have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Bulls 116 – 119 Timberwolves, a margin of about 3.7 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (-2.3 vs +3.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Timberwolves' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.2 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bulls
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHI -2.3 / MIN +3.7 per game
-6.0
Home-court advantageBulls at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bulls
-3.7

Scenarios

Bulls win by 10+
14%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Timberwolves win by 10+
31%

Stat comparison Current season

MINCHI
117.5
Points scored / game
118.6
113.2
Points allowed / game
121.3
47.3 %
Field goal %
42.1 %
38.4 %
3-point %
27.6 %
40.6
3-pointers attempted / game
42.0
62.7 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
51.6
Rebounds / game
44.8
27.0
Assists / game
24.4
9.2
Steals / game
9.0
4.4
Blocks / game
4.8
16.2
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Timberwolves
Naz ReidC · #033pts / game
Julius RandleF · #3014assists
Rudy GobertC · #2710rebounds
Bulls
Nikola VucevicC · #923pts / game
Ayo DosunmuG · #137assists
Jalen SmithF · #256rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MIN
No games played yet.
CHI
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

MINCHI
20-12Record15-16
117.5Points scored / game118.6
113.2Points allowed / game121.3
+3.7Adjusted margin / game-2.3
L2Current streakL1
6-4Last 10 games6-4
8-6 roadHome / road record8-7 home
49-33 (+5.0)Last season39-43 (-1.6)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury report Timberwolves

No injuries reported.

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.