Nuggets vs Wizards prediction NBA · Thursday, January 22
At a glance
The Washington Wizards (10-32) host the Denver Nuggets (29-15) on Thursday, January 22 at 7:00 PM ET at Capital One Arena in NBA action. Final score: Nuggets 107 – Wizards 97. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 81% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Wizards are 6-14 at home and the Nuggets are 17-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Wizards and 6-4 for the Nuggets (current streaks: Wizards L7, Nuggets L2).
The analysis Model
The Nuggets start with a clear edge. The model projects Wizards 113 – 124 Nuggets, a margin of about 11.0 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 236 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-9.6 vs +3.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (121.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Nuggets' defense allows clearly fewer points (117.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DENWSH
Top performers
Nuggets
Peyton WatsonG · #835pts / game
Jamal MurrayG · #275assists
Jonas ValanciunasC · #179reboundsWizards
Kyshawn GeorgeF · #1820pts / gameKyshawn GeorgeF · #187assistsKyshawn GeorgeF · #1812reboundsRecent form
DENWSH
WSH
Team comparison
| DEN | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-15 | Record | 10-32 |
| 121.3 | Points scored / game | 111.5 |
| 117.0 | Points allowed / game | 122.9 |
| +3.7 | Adjusted margin / game | -9.6 |
| L2 | Current streak | L7 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 17-7 road | Home / road record | 6-14 home |
| 50-32 (+3.9) | Last season | 18-64 (-12.4) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Nuggets
Injury report Wizards
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.