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Rockets vs 76ers prediction NBA · Thursday, January 22

FinalXfinity Mobile Arena · Space City Home Network, NBA League Pass, NBC Sports Phil
60% win HOUwin PHI 40%
FavoriteHOU
Projected margin3.2
Projected total229
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Philadelphia 76ers (23-19) host the Houston Rockets (26-15) on Thursday, January 22 at 7:00 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena in NBA action. Final score: Rockets 122 – 76ers 128. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 60% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the 76ers are 11-12 at home and the Rockets are 11-12 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the 76ers and 5-5 for the Rockets (current streaks: 76ers L1, Rockets W3).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Rockets, but the 76ers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects 76ers 113 – 116 Rockets, a margin of about 3.2 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-0.4 vs +5.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.4 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge 76ers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHI -0.4 / HOU +5.1 per game
-5.5
Home-court advantage76ers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor 76ers
-3.2

Scenarios

76ers win by 10+
15%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Rockets win by 10+
29%

Stat comparison Current season

HOUPHI
116.3
Points scored / game
115.0
110.4
Points allowed / game
115.5
51.7 %
Field goal %
42.8 %
40.4 %
3-point %
32.6 %
32.2
3-pointers attempted / game
35.0
84.7 %
Free throw %
77.5 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
42.2
28.2
Assists / game
24.6
10.2
Steals / game
9.8
6.0
Blocks / game
5.6
15.8
Turnovers / game
12.6

Top performers

Rockets
Kevin DurantF · #736pts / game
Amen ThompsonG · #19assists
Tari EasonF · #179rebounds
76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #036pts / game
Tyrese MaxeyG · #010assists
Joel EmbiidC · #2115rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
HOU
No games played yet.
PHI
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

HOUPHI
26-15Record23-19
116.3Points scored / game115.0
110.4Points allowed / game115.5
+5.1Adjusted margin / game-0.4
W3Current streakL1
5-5Last 10 games5-5
11-12 roadHome / road record11-12 home
52-30 (+4.5)Last season24-58 (-6.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Houston Rockets Injury report Rockets

No injuries reported.

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.