Raptors vs Warriors prediction NBA · Tuesday, January 20
At a glance
The Golden State Warriors (25-19) host the Toronto Raptors (25-19) on Tuesday, January 20 at 10:00 PM ET at Chase Center in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 145 – Warriors 127. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 61% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Warriors are 17-6 at home and the Raptors are 12-9 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Warriors and 5-5 for the Raptors (current streaks: Warriors W4, Raptors L2).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Warriors, but the Raptors have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Warriors 115 – 111 Raptors, a margin of about 3.5 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Warriors played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Warriors' offense (116.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
TORGS
Top performers
Raptors
Immanuel QuickleyG · #540pts / game
Scottie BarnesF · #411assists
Sandro MamukelashviliF · #5412reboundsWarriors
Buddy HieldG · #725pts / game
Pat SpencerG · #615assists
Quinten PostC · #417reboundsRecent form
TORGS
GS
Team comparison
| TOR | GS | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-19 | Record | 25-19 |
| 112.9 | Points scored / game | 116.0 |
| 112.9 | Points allowed / game | 112.7 |
| +0.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.9 |
| L2 | Current streak | W4 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 12-9 road | Home / road record | 17-6 home |
| 30-52 (-4.3) | Last season | 48-34 (+3.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Raptors
Injury report Warriors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.