Hornets vs Nuggets prediction NBA · Sunday, January 18
At a glance
The Denver Nuggets (29-13) host the Charlotte Hornets (15-27) on Sunday, January 18 at 8:00 PM ET at Ball Arena in NBA action. Final score: Hornets 110 – Nuggets 87. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 76% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Nuggets are 12-6 at home and the Hornets are 8-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Nuggets and 4-6 for the Hornets (current streaks: Nuggets W4, Hornets L1).
The analysis Model
The Nuggets start with a clear edge. The model projects Nuggets 121 – 112 Hornets, a margin of about 8.7 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Nuggets and the Hornets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+4.3 vs -2.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (122.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
CHADEN
Top performers
Hornets
Brandon MillerF · #2423pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #16assists
Tidjane SalaunF · #3111reboundsNuggets
Jamal MurrayG · #2716pts / game
Jalen PickettG · #217assists
Spencer JonesF · #216reboundsRecent form
CHADEN
DEN
Team comparison
| CHA | DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| 15-27 | Record | 29-13 |
| 114.0 | Points scored / game | 122.1 |
| 116.5 | Points allowed / game | 117.1 |
| -2.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.3 |
| L1 | Current streak | W4 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 8-15 road | Home / road record | 12-6 home |
| 19-63 (-9.1) | Last season | 50-32 (+3.9) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Hornets
Injury report Nuggets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.