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Nuggets vs Hornets prediction NBA · Sunday, December 7

FinalSpectrum Center · FanDuel SN SE, Altitude Sports, NBA League Pass
75% win DENwin CHA 25%
FavoriteDEN
Projected margin8.5
Projected total234
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Charlotte Hornets (7-16) host the Denver Nuggets (16-6) on Sunday, December 7 at 6:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. Final score: Nuggets 115 – Hornets 106. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 75% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hornets are 5-6 at home and the Nuggets are 10-2 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Hornets and 6-4 for the Nuggets (current streaks: Hornets W1, Nuggets W2).

The analysis Model

The Nuggets start with a clear edge. The model projects Hornets 113 – 121 Nuggets, a margin of about 8.5 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (-4.8 vs +5.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Nuggets' offense (123.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hornets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHA -4.8 / DEN +5.9 per game
-10.8
Home-court advantageHornets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Hornets
-8.5

Scenarios

Hornets win by 10+
7%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
25%
Nuggets win by 10+
45%

Stat comparison Current season

DENCHA
123.8
Points scored / game
111.3
116.8
Points allowed / game
117.0
45.8 %
Field goal %
41.7 %
32.8 %
3-point %
30.6 %
34.3
3-pointers attempted / game
43.2
79.6 %
Free throw %
85.2 %
44.5
Rebounds / game
47.4
26.0
Assists / game
20.6
10.0
Steals / game
6.8
4.8
Blocks / game
5.2
15.3
Turnovers / game
19.0

Top performers

Nuggets
Jamal MurrayG · #2734pts / game
Nikola JokicC · #1511assists
Nikola JokicC · #159rebounds
Hornets
Miles BridgesF · #2224pts / game
Miles BridgesF · #228assists
Miles BridgesF · #229rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DEN
No games played yet.
CHA
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

DENCHA
16-6Record7-16
123.8Points scored / game111.3
116.8Points allowed / game117.0
+5.9Adjusted margin / game-4.8
W2Current streakW1
6-4Last 10 games3-7
10-2 roadHome / road record5-6 home
50-32 (+3.9)Last season19-63 (-9.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Denver Nuggets Injury report Nuggets

No injuries reported.

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.