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Magic vs Grizzlies prediction NBA · Sunday, January 18

FinalThe O2 · Prime Video
45% win ORLwin MEM 55%
FavoriteMEM
Projected margin1.5
Projected total230
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Memphis Grizzlies (17-23) host the Orlando Magic (23-18) on Sunday, January 18 at 12:00 PM ET at The O2 in NBA action. Final score: Magic 109 – Grizzlies 126. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Grizzlies a 55% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Grizzlies are 9-11 at home and the Magic are 9-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Grizzlies and 6-4 for the Magic (current streaks: Grizzlies L1, Magic W2).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Grizzlies 116 – 114 Magic, a margin of about 1.5 points in favor of the Grizzlies and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Magic need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Magic's defense allows clearly fewer points (112.8 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Grizzlies
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MEM +0.0 / ORL +0.9 per game
-0.8
Home-court advantageGrizzlies at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Grizzlies
+1.5

Scenarios

Grizzlies win by 10+
25%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Magic win by 10+
18%

Stat comparison Current season

ORLMEM
113.8
Points scored / game
116.4
112.8
Points allowed / game
116.4
44.2 %
Field goal %
45.3 %
31.4 %
3-point %
39.1 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
37.8
75.0 %
Free throw %
82.8 %
41.3
Rebounds / game
50.0
26.0
Assists / game
25.0
7.8
Steals / game
6.3
4.5
Blocks / game
6.3
17.8
Turnovers / game
15.5

Top performers

Magic
Anthony BlackG · #019pts / game
Paolo BancheroF · #59assists
Paolo BancheroF · #58rebounds
Grizzlies
Ja MorantG · #124pts / game
Ja MorantG · #113assists
Jock LandaleC · #318rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ORL
No games played yet.
MEM
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

ORLMEM
23-18Record17-23
113.8Points scored / game116.4
112.8Points allowed / game116.4
+0.9Adjusted margin / game+0.0
W2Current streakL1
6-4Last 10 games3-7
9-11 roadHome / road record9-11 home
41-41 (-0.1)Last season48-34 (+4.9)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Memphis Grizzlies Injury report Grizzlies

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.