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Grizzlies vs Magic prediction NBA · Thursday, January 15

FinalUber Arena · Prime Video, FanDuel SN FL
41% win MEMwin ORL 59%
FavoriteORL
Projected margin2.9
Projected total230
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Orlando Magic (22-18) host the Memphis Grizzlies (17-22) on Thursday, January 15 at 2:00 PM ET at Uber Arena in NBA action. Final score: Grizzlies 111 – Magic 118. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Magic a 59% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Magic are 13-7 at home and the Grizzlies are 8-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Magic and 4-6 for the Grizzlies (current streaks: Magic W1, Grizzlies W1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Magic, but the Grizzlies have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Magic 116 – 113 Grizzlies, a margin of about 2.9 points in favor of the Magic and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Grizzlies need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Magic's defense allows clearly fewer points (112.8 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Magic
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ORL +0.8 / MEM +0.2 per game
+0.6
Home-court advantageMagic at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Magic
+2.9

Scenarios

Magic win by 10+
29%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Grizzlies win by 10+
15%

Stat comparison Current season

MEMORL
116.5
Points scored / game
113.7
116.3
Points allowed / game
112.8
45.3 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
39.1 %
3-point %
31.4 %
37.8
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
82.8 %
Free throw %
75.0 %
50.0
Rebounds / game
41.3
25.0
Assists / game
26.0
6.3
Steals / game
7.8
6.3
Blocks / game
4.5
15.5
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Grizzlies
Jaren Jackson Jr.F · #2030pts / game
Cam SpencerG · #2411assists
John KoncharG · #558rebounds
Magic
Paolo BancheroF · #526pts / game
Anthony BlackG · #07assists
Paolo BancheroF · #513rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MEM
No games played yet.
ORL
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

MEMORL
17-22Record22-18
116.5Points scored / game113.7
116.3Points allowed / game112.8
+0.2Adjusted margin / game+0.8
W1Current streakW1
4-6Last 10 games5-5
8-11 roadHome / road record13-7 home
48-34 (+4.9)Last season41-41 (-0.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Memphis Grizzlies Injury report Grizzlies

No injuries reported.

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.