Hornets vs Warriors prediction NBA · Saturday, January 17
At a glance
The Golden State Warriors (23-19) host the Charlotte Hornets (15-26) on Saturday, January 17 at 8:30 PM ET at Chase Center in NBA action. Final score: Hornets 116 – Warriors 136. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 70% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Warriors are 15-6 at home and the Hornets are 8-14 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Warriors and 4-6 for the Hornets (current streaks: Warriors W2, Hornets W1).
The analysis Model
The Warriors are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Warriors 118 – 111 Hornets, a margin of about 6.4 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+2.3 vs -1.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Warriors' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.6 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
CHAGS
Top performers
Hornets
Brandon MillerF · #2428pts / gameBrandon MillerF · #245assists
Kon KnueppelG · #711reboundsWarriors
De'Anthony MeltonG · #824pts / game
Brandin PodziemskiG · #27assists
Quinten PostC · #417reboundsRecent form
CHAGS
GS
Team comparison
| CHA | GS | |
|---|---|---|
| 15-26 | Record | 23-19 |
| 114.0 | Points scored / game | 115.3 |
| 116.1 | Points allowed / game | 112.6 |
| -1.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.3 |
| W1 | Current streak | W2 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 8-14 road | Home / road record | 15-6 home |
| 19-63 (-9.1) | Last season | 48-34 (+3.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Hornets
Injury report Warriors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.