Warriors vs Hornets prediction NBA · Wednesday, December 31
At a glance
The Charlotte Hornets (11-21) host the Golden State Warriors (17-16) on Wednesday, December 31 at 1:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. Final score: Warriors 132 – Hornets 125. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 62% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hornets are 7-9 at home and the Warriors are 7-12 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Hornets and 6-4 for the Warriors (current streaks: Hornets L1, Warriors W1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Warriors, but the Hornets have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Hornets 112 – 116 Warriors, a margin of about 3.7 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-4.0 vs +2.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Warriors' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
GSCHA
Top performers
Warriors
Stephen CurryG · #3026pts / game
Draymond GreenF · #2312assists
Draymond GreenF · #238rebounds
Hornets
Brandon MillerF · #2433pts / game
Kon KnueppelG · #78assists
Moussa DiabateF · #148reboundsRecent form
GS
CHATeam comparison
| GS | CHA | |
|---|---|---|
| 17-16 | Record | 11-21 |
| 114.7 | Points scored / game | 112.7 |
| 112.4 | Points allowed / game | 117.4 |
| +2.0 | Adjusted margin / game | -4.0 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 7-12 road | Home / road record | 7-9 home |
| 48-34 (+3.3) | Last season | 19-63 (-9.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Warriors
Injury report Hornets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.
GS