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Suns vs Knicks prediction NBA · Saturday, January 17

FinalMadison Square Garden · NBA TV, MSG, DAZN (MSG), Arizona's Family 3TV, Suns Live
36% win PHXwin NY 64%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin4.6
Projected total230
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The New York Knicks (26-16) host the Phoenix Suns (24-17) on Saturday, January 17 at 7:30 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: Suns 106 – Knicks 99. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 64% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Knicks are 17-4 at home and the Suns are 10-12 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Knicks and 6-4 for the Suns (current streaks: Knicks L2, Suns L2).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Knicks, but the Suns have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Knicks 117 – 113 Suns, a margin of about 4.6 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Suns need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' offense (118.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Knicks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NY +3.4 / PHX +1.1 per game
+2.3
Home-court advantageKnicks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Knicks
+4.6

Scenarios

Knicks win by 10+
33%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Suns win by 10+
12%

Stat comparison Current season

PHXNY
114.4
Points scored / game
118.3
113.1
Points allowed / game
114.3
45.6 %
Field goal %
42.2 %
31.9 %
3-point %
35.9 %
39.7
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
73.9 %
Free throw %
75.8 %
39.7
Rebounds / game
48.2
25.3
Assists / game
26.8
8.7
Steals / game
7.2
5.3
Blocks / game
4.4
14.0
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Suns
Devin BookerG · #1527pts / game
Collin GillespieG · #126assists
Mark WilliamsC · #259rebounds
Knicks
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3223pts / game
Miles McBrideG · #25assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3211rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHX
No games played yet.
NY
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

PHX lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

PHXNY
24-17Record26-16
114.4Points scored / game118.3
113.1Points allowed / game114.3
+1.1Adjusted margin / game+3.4
L2Current streakL2
6-4Last 10 games3-7
10-12 roadHome / road record17-4 home
36-46 (-3.0)Last season51-31 (+4.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Phoenix Suns Injury report Suns

No injuries reported.

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.