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Knicks vs Suns prediction NBA · Friday, January 9

FinalMortgage Matchup Center · MSG, NBA League Pass, DAZN (MSG), Arizona's Family 3TV, Suns Live
New York Knicks
New York Knicks
24-14 · away
Final score
107-112
Projected: 116-115
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns
23-15 · home
52% win NYwin PHX 48%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin0.7
Projected total230
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Phoenix Suns (22-15) host the New York Knicks (25-13) on Friday, January 9 at 9:00 PM ET at Mortgage Matchup Center in NBA action. Final score: Knicks 107 – Suns 112. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 52% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Suns are 12-5 at home and the Knicks are 8-9 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Suns and 5-5 for the Knicks (current streaks: Suns W1, Knicks W1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Suns 115 – 116 Knicks, a margin of about 0.7 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Suns need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' offense (118.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Suns
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHX +0.9 / NY +4.0 per game
-3.0
Home-court advantageSuns at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Suns
-0.7

Scenarios

Suns win by 10+
19%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Knicks win by 10+
23%

Stat comparison Current season

NYPHX
118.9
Points scored / game
114.5
114.2
Points allowed / game
113.4
42.2 %
Field goal %
45.6 %
35.9 %
3-point %
31.9 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
39.7
75.8 %
Free throw %
73.9 %
48.2
Rebounds / game
39.7
26.8
Assists / game
25.3
7.2
Steals / game
8.7
4.4
Blocks / game
5.3
14.8
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1127pts / game
Jalen BrunsonG · #115assists
Mitchell RobinsonC · #414rebounds
Suns
Devin BookerG · #1531pts / game
Devin BookerG · #158assists
Dillon BrooksF · #37rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NY
No games played yet.
PHX
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

PHX lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

NYPHX
25-13Record22-15
118.9Points scored / game114.5
114.2Points allowed / game113.4
+4.0Adjusted margin / game+0.9
W1Current streakW1
5-5Last 10 games7-3
8-9 roadHome / road record12-5 home
51-31 (+4.1)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Phoenix Suns Injury report Suns

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.