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Pelicans vs Pacers prediction NBA · Friday, January 16

FinalGainbridge Fieldhouse · FanDuel SN IN, GCSEN, Pelicans.com, NBA League Pass
37% win NOwin IND 63%
FavoriteIND
Projected margin4.2
Projected total233
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Indiana Pacers (9-32) host the New Orleans Pelicans (10-33) on Friday, January 16 at 7:00 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in NBA action. Final score: Pelicans 119 – Pacers 127. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pacers a 63% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pacers are 7-16 at home and the Pelicans are 3-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Pacers and 2-8 for the Pelicans (current streaks: Pacers L1, Pelicans W1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Pacers, but the Pelicans have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Pacers 118 – 114 Pelicans, a margin of about 4.2 points in favor of the Pacers and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pacers' defense allows clearly fewer points (117.6 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pacers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)IND -4.7 / NO -6.6 per game
+1.9
Home-court advantagePacers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Pacers
+4.2

Scenarios

Pacers win by 10+
32%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Pelicans win by 10+
13%

Stat comparison Current season

NOIND
113.8
Points scored / game
112.1
121.5
Points allowed / game
117.6
46.5 %
Field goal %
47.1 %
29.0 %
3-point %
31.2 %
31.0
3-pointers attempted / game
37.8
83.6 %
Free throw %
72.7 %
44.3
Rebounds / game
44.0
23.5
Assists / game
29.4
12.3
Steals / game
6.4
4.8
Blocks / game
4.8
16.5
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Pelicans
Zion WilliamsonF · #127pts / game
Zion WilliamsonF · #17assists
Derik QueenC · #2212rebounds
Pacers
Jay HuffC · #3229pts / game
Andrew NembhardG · #210assists
Jay HuffC · #329rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NO
No games played yet.
IND
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

NOIND
10-33Record9-32
113.8Points scored / game112.1
121.5Points allowed / game117.6
-6.6Adjusted margin / game-4.7
W1Current streakL1
2-8Last 10 games3-7
3-15 roadHome / road record7-16 home
21-61 (-9.4)Last season50-32 (+2.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

New Orleans Pelicans Injury report Pelicans

No injuries reported.

Indiana Pacers Injury report Pacers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.