Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Pacers vs Pelicans prediction NBA · Saturday, December 20

FinalSmoothie King Center · GCSEN, Pelicans.com, FanDuel SN IN, NBA League Pass
53% win INDwin NO 47%
FavoriteIND
Projected margin0.9
Projected total232
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The New Orleans Pelicans (6-22) host the Indiana Pacers (6-21) on Saturday, December 20 at 7:00 PM ET at Smoothie King Center in NBA action. Final score: Pacers 109 – Pelicans 128. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pacers a 53% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Pelicans are 4-12 at home and the Pacers are 1-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Pelicans and 4-6 for the Pacers (current streaks: Pelicans W3, Pacers L3).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Pelicans 116 – 117 Pacers, a margin of about 0.9 points in favor of the Pacers and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pacers' defense allows clearly fewer points (117.2 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pelicans
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NO -7.2 / IND -4.0 per game
-3.2
Home-court advantagePelicans at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Pelicans
-0.9

Scenarios

Pelicans win by 10+
19%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Pacers win by 10+
23%

Stat comparison Current season

INDNO
112.4
Points scored / game
113.3
117.2
Points allowed / game
121.9
47.1 %
Field goal %
46.5 %
31.2 %
3-point %
29.0 %
37.8
3-pointers attempted / game
31.0
72.7 %
Free throw %
83.6 %
44.0
Rebounds / game
44.3
29.4
Assists / game
23.5
6.4
Steals / game
12.3
4.8
Blocks / game
4.8
14.8
Turnovers / game
16.5

Top performers

Pacers
Pascal SiakamF · #4322pts / game
T.J. McConnellG · #98assists
Jay HuffC · #326rebounds
Pelicans
Zion WilliamsonF · #129pts / game
Jordan PooleG · #36assists
Derik QueenC · #2210rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
IND
No games played yet.
NO
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

INDNO
6-21Record6-22
112.4Points scored / game113.3
117.2Points allowed / game121.9
-4.0Adjusted margin / game-7.2
L3Current streakW3
4-6Last 10 games3-7
1-11 roadHome / road record4-12 home
50-32 (+2.2)Last season21-61 (-9.4)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Indiana Pacers Injury report Pacers

No injuries reported.

New Orleans Pelicans Injury report Pelicans

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.