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Hornets vs Lakers prediction NBA · Thursday, January 15

Finalcrypto.com Arena · Spectrum Sports Net, Spectrum Sports Net +, FanDuel SN SE, NBA League Pass
35% win CHAwin LAL 65%
FavoriteLAL
Projected margin4.7
Projected total230
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Los Angeles Lakers (24-14) host the Charlotte Hornets (14-26) on Thursday, January 15 at 10:30 PM ET at crypto.com Arena in NBA action. Final score: Hornets 135 – Lakers 117. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Lakers a 65% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Lakers are 11-7 at home and the Hornets are 7-14 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Lakers and 4-6 for the Hornets (current streaks: Lakers W1, Hornets L1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Lakers, but the Hornets have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Lakers 118 – 113 Hornets, a margin of about 4.7 points in favor of the Lakers and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Lakers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAL +0.3 / CHA -2.1 per game
+2.4
Home-court advantageLakers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Lakers
+4.7

Scenarios

Lakers win by 10+
34%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Hornets win by 10+
12%

Stat comparison Current season

CHALAL
113.6
Points scored / game
115.7
116.1
Points allowed / game
115.4
41.7 %
Field goal %
52.9 %
30.6 %
3-point %
39.2 %
43.2
3-pointers attempted / game
36.2
85.2 %
Free throw %
79.1 %
47.4
Rebounds / game
38.0
20.6
Assists / game
24.0
6.8
Steals / game
10.8
5.2
Blocks / game
5.8
19.0
Turnovers / game
16.6

Top performers

Hornets
LaMelo BallG · #130pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #111assists
Miles BridgesF · #228rebounds
Lakers
Luka DoncicG · #7739pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #236assists
LeBron JamesF · #239rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHA
No games played yet.
LAL
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

CHALAL
14-26Record24-14
113.6Points scored / game115.7
116.1Points allowed / game115.4
-2.1Adjusted margin / game+0.3
L1Current streakW1
4-6Last 10 games5-5
7-14 roadHome / road record11-7 home
19-63 (-9.1)Last season50-32 (+1.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.