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Lakers vs Hornets prediction NBA · Monday, November 10

FinalSpectrum Center · Spectrum Sports Net, Spectrum Sports Net +, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN SE
62% win LALwin CHA 38%
FavoriteLAL
Projected margin3.7
Projected total229
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Charlotte Hornets (3-6) host the Los Angeles Lakers (7-3) on Monday, November 10 at 7:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. Final score: Lakers 121 – Hornets 111. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Lakers a 62% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hornets are 2-2 at home and the Lakers are 4-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-6 for the Hornets and 7-3 for the Lakers (current streaks: Hornets L2, Lakers L1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Lakers, but the Hornets have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Hornets 113 – 116 Lakers, a margin of about 3.7 points in favor of the Lakers and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-5.2 vs +0.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Lakers' offense (115.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hornets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHA -5.2 / LAL +0.8 per game
-6.0
Home-court advantageHornets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Hornets
-3.7

Scenarios

Hornets win by 10+
14%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Lakers win by 10+
31%

Stat comparison Current season

LALCHA
115.4
Points scored / game
111.1
114.4
Points allowed / game
117.1
52.9 %
Field goal %
41.7 %
39.2 %
3-point %
30.6 %
36.2
3-pointers attempted / game
43.2
79.1 %
Free throw %
85.2 %
38.0
Rebounds / game
47.4
24.0
Assists / game
20.6
10.8
Steals / game
6.8
5.8
Blocks / game
5.2
16.6
Turnovers / game
19.0

Top performers

Lakers
Luka DoncicG · #7738pts / game
Luka DoncicG · #777assists
Luka DoncicG · #776rebounds
Hornets
Miles BridgesF · #2234pts / game
Kon KnueppelG · #79assists
Kon KnueppelG · #710rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
LAL
No games played yet.
CHA
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

LALCHA
7-3Record3-6
115.4Points scored / game111.1
114.4Points allowed / game117.1
+0.8Adjusted margin / game-5.2
L1Current streakL2
7-3Last 10 games3-6
4-1 roadHome / road record2-2 home
50-32 (+1.2)Last season19-63 (-9.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.