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Wizards vs Clippers prediction NBA · Wednesday, January 14

FinalIntuit Dome · MNMT, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN SoCal
17% win WSHwin LAC 83%
FavoriteLAC
Projected margin12.1
Projected total230
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The LA Clippers (16-23) host the Washington Wizards (10-28) on Wednesday, January 14 at 10:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. Final score: Wizards 105 – Clippers 119. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Clippers a 83% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Clippers are 10-9 at home and the Wizards are 4-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Clippers and 5-5 for the Wizards (current streaks: Clippers W3, Wizards L3).

The analysis Model

The Clippers start with a clear edge. The model projects Clippers 121 – 109 Wizards, a margin of about 12.1 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+0.0 vs -9.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.2 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Clippers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAC +0.0 / WSH -9.8 per game
+9.8
Home-court advantageClippers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Clippers
+12.1

Scenarios

Clippers win by 10+
57%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
20%
Wizards win by 10+
4%

Stat comparison Current season

WSHLAC
111.6
Points scored / game
112.3
123.1
Points allowed / game
112.2
48.0 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
28.5 %
3-point %
39.0 %
31.6
3-pointers attempted / game
35.3
83.1 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
40.0
Rebounds / game
40.8
25.8
Assists / game
25.0
7.4
Steals / game
12.5
5.6
Blocks / game
4.5
13.6
Turnovers / game
23.0

Top performers

Wizards
Kyshawn GeorgeF · #1823pts / game
Bub CarringtonG · #77assists
Marvin Bagley IIIF · #311rebounds
Clippers
Kawhi LeonardF · #233pts / game
James HardenG · #18assists
Jordan MillerG · #2210rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
WSH
No games played yet.
LAC
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

LAC lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

WSHLAC
10-28Record16-23
111.6Points scored / game112.3
123.1Points allowed / game112.2
-9.8Adjusted margin / game+0.0
L3Current streakW3
5-5Last 10 games8-2
4-15 roadHome / road record10-9 home
18-64 (-12.4)Last season50-32 (+4.7)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Washington Wizards Injury report Wizards

No injuries reported.

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.