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Nets vs Pelicans prediction NBA · Wednesday, January 14

FinalSmoothie King Center · GCSEN, Pelicans.com, YES, NBA League Pass, DAZN (YES)
54% win BKNwin NO 46%
FavoriteBKN
Projected margin1.3
Projected total227
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The New Orleans Pelicans (9-33) host the Brooklyn Nets (11-26) on Wednesday, January 14 at 8:00 PM ET at Smoothie King Center in NBA action. Final score: Nets 113 – Pelicans 116. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nets a 54% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Pelicans are 6-18 at home and the Nets are 6-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 1-9 for the Pelicans and 3-7 for the Nets (current streaks: Pelicans L2, Nets L4).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Pelicans 113 – 114 Nets, a margin of about 1.3 points in favor of the Nets and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Pelicans played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pelicans' offense (113.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Nets' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.4 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pelicans
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NO -6.7 / BKN -4.8 per game
-2.0
Home-court advantagePelicans at home
+2.3
Back-to-backPelicans played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Pelicans
-1.3

Scenarios

Pelicans win by 10+
18%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Nets win by 10+
24%

Stat comparison Current season

BKNNO
107.8
Points scored / game
113.8
113.4
Points allowed / game
121.7
42.9 %
Field goal %
46.5 %
36.7 %
3-point %
29.0 %
42.3
3-pointers attempted / game
31.0
76.6 %
Free throw %
83.6 %
43.5
Rebounds / game
44.3
24.0
Assists / game
23.5
10.0
Steals / game
12.3
4.0
Blocks / game
4.8
17.5
Turnovers / game
16.5

Top performers

Nets
Michael Porter Jr.F · #1720pts / game
Noah ClowneyF · #216assists
Day'Ron SharpeC · #209rebounds
Pelicans
Trey Murphy IIIF · #2534pts / game
Trey Murphy IIIF · #255assists
Yves MissiC · #2112rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BKN
No games played yet.
NO
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

BKNNO
11-26Record9-33
107.8Points scored / game113.8
113.4Points allowed / game121.7
-4.8Adjusted margin / game-6.7
L4Current streakL2
3-7Last 10 games1-9
6-11 roadHome / road record6-18 home
26-56 (-7.1)Last season21-61 (-9.4)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

New Orleans Pelicans Injury report Pelicans

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.