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Pelicans vs Nets prediction NBA · Saturday, December 6

FinalBarclays Center · YES, DAZN (YES), GCSEN, Pelicans.com, NBA League Pass
38% win NOwin BKN 62%
FavoriteBKN
Projected margin3.9
Projected total229
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Brooklyn Nets (5-17) host the New Orleans Pelicans (3-20) on Saturday, December 6 at 5:00 PM ET at Barclays Center in NBA action. Final score: Pelicans 101 – Nets 119. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nets a 62% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nets are 1-10 at home and the Pelicans are 1-9 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Nets and 1-9 for the Pelicans (current streaks: Nets L1, Pelicans L5).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Nets, but the Pelicans have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Nets 116 – 112 Pelicans, a margin of about 3.9 points in favor of the Nets and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pelicans' offense (111.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Nets' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.9 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Nets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BKN -7.1 / NO -8.7 per game
+1.6
Home-court advantageNets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Nets
+3.9

Scenarios

Nets win by 10+
31%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Pelicans win by 10+
13%

Stat comparison Current season

NOBKN
111.7
Points scored / game
107.6
122.0
Points allowed / game
115.9
46.5 %
Field goal %
42.9 %
29.0 %
3-point %
36.7 %
31.0
3-pointers attempted / game
42.3
83.6 %
Free throw %
76.6 %
44.3
Rebounds / game
43.5
23.5
Assists / game
24.0
12.3
Steals / game
10.0
4.8
Blocks / game
4.0
16.5
Turnovers / game
17.5

Top performers

Pelicans
Trey Murphy IIIF · #2523pts / game
Jose AlvaradoG · #56assists
Derik QueenC · #229rebounds
Nets
Michael Porter Jr.F · #1735pts / game
Nic ClaxtonC · #910assists
Nic ClaxtonC · #911rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NO
No games played yet.
BKN
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

NOBKN
3-20Record5-17
111.7Points scored / game107.6
122.0Points allowed / game115.9
-8.7Adjusted margin / game-7.1
L5Current streakL1
1-9Last 10 games4-6
1-9 roadHome / road record1-10 home
21-61 (-9.4)Last season26-56 (-7.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

New Orleans Pelicans Injury report Pelicans

No injuries reported.

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.