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Hawks vs Lakers prediction NBA · Tuesday, January 13

Finalcrypto.com Arena · Spectrum Sports Net, Spectrum Sports Net +, FanDuel SN SE, NBA League Pass
48% win ATLwin LAL 52%
FavoriteLAL
Projected margin0.8
Projected total232
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Los Angeles Lakers (23-14) host the Atlanta Hawks (20-21) on Tuesday, January 13 at 10:30 PM ET at crypto.com Arena in NBA action. Final score: Hawks 116 – Lakers 141. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Lakers a 52% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Lakers are 10-7 at home and the Hawks are 13-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Lakers and 5-5 for the Hawks (current streaks: Lakers L3, Hawks W3).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Lakers 117 – 116 Hawks, a margin of about 0.8 points in favor of the Lakers and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Lakers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Hawks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Hawks' offense (118.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Lakers' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.4 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Lakers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAL -0.2 / ATL -0.2 per game
+0.1
Home-court advantageLakers at home
+2.3
Back-to-backLakers played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Lakers
+0.8

Scenarios

Lakers win by 10+
23%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Hawks win by 10+
19%

Stat comparison Current season

ATLLAL
118.3
Points scored / game
115.2
118.6
Points allowed / game
115.4
46.9 %
Field goal %
52.9 %
34.8 %
3-point %
39.2 %
41.4
3-pointers attempted / game
36.2
72.8 %
Free throw %
79.1 %
41.4
Rebounds / game
38.0
32.2
Assists / game
24.0
10.2
Steals / game
10.8
3.6
Blocks / game
5.8
14.0
Turnovers / game
16.6

Top performers

Hawks
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG · #726pts / game
Jalen JohnsonF · #16assists
Dyson DanielsG · #58rebounds
Lakers
LeBron JamesF · #2331pts / game
Luka DoncicG · #7712assists
Deandre AytonC · #818rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ATL
No games played yet.
LAL
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

ATLLAL
20-21Record23-14
118.3Points scored / game115.2
118.6Points allowed / game115.4
-0.2Adjusted margin / game-0.2
W3Current streakL3
5-5Last 10 games4-6
13-10 roadHome / road record10-7 home
40-42 (-1.1)Last season50-32 (+1.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Atlanta Hawks Injury report Hawks

No injuries reported.

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.