Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Lakers vs Hawks prediction NBA · Saturday, November 8

FinalState Farm Arena · Spectrum Sports Net, Spectrum Sports Net +, FanDuel SN SE, NBA TV
Los Angeles Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers
7-3 · away
Final score
102-122
Projected: 117-114
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks
5-5 · home
57% win LALwin ATL 43%
FavoriteLAL
Projected margin2.3
Projected total231
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Atlanta Hawks (4-5) host the Los Angeles Lakers (7-2) on Saturday, November 8 at 8:00 PM ET at State Farm Arena in NBA action. Final score: Lakers 102 – Hawks 122. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Lakers a 57% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Hawks are 1-3 at home and the Lakers are 4-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-5 for the Hawks and 7-2 for the Lakers (current streaks: Hawks L1, Lakers W5).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Hawks 114 – 117 Lakers, a margin of about 2.3 points in favor of the Lakers and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Hawks played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Hawks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Lakers' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hawks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ATL -1.3 / LAL +1.7 per game
-3.0
Home-court advantageHawks at home
+2.3
Back-to-backHawks played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Hawks
-2.3

Scenarios

Hawks win by 10+
16%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Lakers win by 10+
27%

Stat comparison Current season

LALATL
116.0
Points scored / game
116.6
114.0
Points allowed / game
118.1
52.9 %
Field goal %
46.9 %
39.2 %
3-point %
34.8 %
36.2
3-pointers attempted / game
41.4
79.1 %
Free throw %
72.8 %
38.0
Rebounds / game
41.4
24.0
Assists / game
32.2
10.8
Steals / game
10.2
5.8
Blocks / game
3.6
16.6
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Lakers
Luka DoncicG · #7722pts / game
Luka DoncicG · #7711assists
Jarred VanderbiltF · #218rebounds
Hawks
Mouhamed GueyeF · #1821pts / game
Dyson DanielsG · #513assists
Onyeka OkongwuF · #178rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
LAL
No games played yet.
ATL
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

LALATL
7-2Record4-5
116.0Points scored / game116.6
114.0Points allowed / game118.1
+1.7Adjusted margin / game-1.3
W5Current streakL1
7-2Last 10 games4-5
4-0 roadHome / road record1-3 home
50-32 (+1.2)Last season40-42 (-1.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

Atlanta Hawks Injury report Hawks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.