Timberwolves vs Bucks prediction NBA · Tuesday, January 13
At a glance
The Milwaukee Bucks (17-22) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (26-14) on Tuesday, January 13 at 8:00 PM ET at Fiserv Forum in NBA action. Final score: Timberwolves 139 – Bucks 106. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 59% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bucks are 9-9 at home and the Timberwolves are 11-8 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Bucks and 6-4 for the Timberwolves (current streaks: Bucks L1, Timberwolves W1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Timberwolves, but the Bucks have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Bucks 114 – 117 Timberwolves, a margin of about 3.0 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-0.9 vs +4.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Bucks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Timberwolves' offense (118.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MINMIL
Top performers
Timberwolves
Julius RandleF · #3029pts / game
Donte DiVincenzoG · #07assistsJulius RandleF · #308reboundsBucks
Giannis AntetokounmpoF · #725pts / game
Kevin Porter Jr.G · #78assistsGiannis AntetokounmpoF · #78reboundsRecent form
MINMIL
MIL
Team comparison
| MIN | MIL | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-14 | Record | 17-22 |
| 118.6 | Points scored / game | 113.5 |
| 113.5 | Points allowed / game | 114.6 |
| +4.3 | Adjusted margin / game | -0.9 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 11-8 road | Home / road record | 9-9 home |
| 49-33 (+5.0) | Last season | 48-34 (+2.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Timberwolves
Injury report Bucks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.