Bucks vs Timberwolves prediction NBA · Sunday, December 21
At a glance
The Minnesota Timberwolves (18-10) host the Milwaukee Bucks (11-17) on Sunday, December 21 at 7:00 PM ET at Target Center in NBA action. Final score: Bucks 100 – Timberwolves 103. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 74% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Timberwolves are 10-5 at home and the Bucks are 3-9 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Timberwolves and 3-7 for the Bucks (current streaks: Timberwolves W1, Bucks L2).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Timberwolves dominate this matchup. The model projects Timberwolves 119 – 111 Bucks, a margin of about 8.1 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+4.2 vs -1.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Bucks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Timberwolves' offense (117.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Timberwolves' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MILMIN
Top performers
Bucks
Kevin Porter Jr.G · #724pts / gameKevin Porter Jr.G · #79assists
Bobby PortisF · #9511reboundsTimberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #524pts / gameAnthony EdwardsG · #56assists
Rudy GobertC · #2718reboundsRecent form
MILMIN
MIL
Team comparison
| MIL | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 11-17 | Record | 18-10 |
| 114.2 | Points scored / game | 117.7 |
| 116.1 | Points allowed / game | 112.8 |
| -1.7 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.2 |
| L2 | Current streak | W1 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 8-2 |
| 3-9 road | Home / road record | 10-5 home |
| 48-34 (+2.5) | Last season | 49-33 (+5.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Bucks
Injury report Timberwolves
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.