Suns vs Heat prediction NBA · Tuesday, January 13
At a glance
The Miami Heat (20-19) host the Phoenix Suns (24-15) on Tuesday, January 13 at 7:30 PM ET at Kaseya Center in NBA action. Final score: Suns 121 – Heat 127. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Heat a 57% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Heat are 13-6 at home and the Suns are 10-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Heat and 8-2 for the Suns (current streaks: Heat L3, Suns W3).
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Heat 116 – 114 Suns, a margin of about 2.2 points in favor of the Heat and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Suns need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PHXMIA
Top performers
Suns
Grayson AllenG · #825pts / game
Devin BookerG · #159assists
Mark WilliamsC · #2514reboundsHeat
Bam AdebayoC · #1329pts / game
Jaime Jaquez Jr.F · #248assistsBam AdebayoC · #139reboundsRecent form
PHXMIA
PHX
Team comparison
| PHX | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-15 | Record | 20-19 |
| 114.4 | Points scored / game | 117.3 |
| 112.9 | Points allowed / game | 115.9 |
| +1.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.2 |
| W3 | Current streak | L3 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 10-10 road | Home / road record | 13-6 home |
| 36-46 (-3.0) | Last season | 37-45 (+0.6) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Suns
Injury report Heat
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.