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76ers vs Raptors prediction NBA · Monday, January 12

FinalScotiabank Arena · NBC Sports Phil +, NBA League Pass, Sportsnet
41% win PHIwin TOR 59%
FavoriteTOR
Projected margin2.9
Projected total227
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Toronto Raptors (24-16) host the Philadelphia 76ers (21-16) on Monday, January 12 at 7:30 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in NBA action. Final score: 76ers 115 – Raptors 102. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Raptors a 59% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Raptors are 13-8 at home and the 76ers are 11-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Raptors and 5-5 for the 76ers (current streaks: Raptors W1, 76ers L1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Raptors, but the 76ers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Raptors 115 – 112 76ers, a margin of about 2.9 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Raptors and the 76ers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Raptors
Team strength (adjusted point differential)TOR +0.4 / PHI -0.2 per game
+0.6
Home-court advantageRaptors at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Raptors
+2.9

Scenarios

Raptors win by 10+
29%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
76ers win by 10+
15%

Stat comparison Current season

PHITOR
115.3
Points scored / game
113.4
115.6
Points allowed / game
112.9
42.8 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
32.6 %
3-point %
30.4 %
35.0
3-pointers attempted / game
34.5
77.5 %
Free throw %
79.0 %
42.2
Rebounds / game
45.8
24.6
Assists / game
27.3
9.8
Steals / game
14.3
5.6
Blocks / game
5.5
12.6
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #033pts / game
VJ EdgecombeG · #778assists
Joel EmbiidC · #218rebounds
Raptors
Immanuel QuickleyG · #518pts / game
Brandon IngramF · #77assists
Brandon IngramF · #710rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHI
No games played yet.
TOR
No games played yet.

Team comparison

PHITOR
21-16Record24-16
115.3Points scored / game113.4
115.6Points allowed / game112.9
-0.2Adjusted margin / game+0.4
L1Current streakW1
5-5Last 10 games7-3
11-7 roadHome / road record13-8 home
24-58 (-6.2)Last season30-52 (-4.3)
YesPlayed yesterdayYes

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Toronto Raptors Injury report Raptors

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.