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76ers vs Raptors prediction NBA · Sunday, January 11

FinalScotiabank Arena · NBC Sports Phil, NBA League Pass, Sportsnet
41% win PHIwin TOR 59%
FavoriteTOR
Projected margin2.9
Projected total229
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Toronto Raptors (23-16) host the Philadelphia 76ers (21-15) on Sunday, January 11 at 6:00 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in NBA action. Final score: 76ers 115 – Raptors 116. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Raptors a 59% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Raptors are 12-8 at home and the 76ers are 11-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Raptors and 6-4 for the 76ers (current streaks: Raptors L1, 76ers W2).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Raptors, but the 76ers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Raptors 116 – 113 76ers, a margin of about 2.9 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Raptors
Team strength (adjusted point differential)TOR +0.4 / PHI -0.2 per game
+0.6
Home-court advantageRaptors at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Raptors
+2.9

Scenarios

Raptors win by 10+
29%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
76ers win by 10+
15%

Stat comparison Current season

PHITOR
115.3
Points scored / game
113.3
115.6
Points allowed / game
112.9
42.8 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
32.6 %
3-point %
30.4 %
35.0
3-pointers attempted / game
34.5
77.5 %
Free throw %
79.0 %
42.2
Rebounds / game
45.8
24.6
Assists / game
27.3
9.8
Steals / game
14.3
5.6
Blocks / game
5.5
12.6
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #038pts / game
Tyrese MaxeyG · #05assists
Quentin GrimesG · #57rebounds
Raptors
Scottie BarnesF · #431pts / game
Scottie BarnesF · #48assists
Collin Murray-BoylesF · #3015rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHI
No games played yet.
TOR
No games played yet.

Team comparison

PHITOR
21-15Record23-16
115.3Points scored / game113.3
115.6Points allowed / game112.9
-0.2Adjusted margin / game+0.4
W2Current streakL1
6-4Last 10 games6-4
11-6 roadHome / road record12-8 home
24-58 (-6.2)Last season30-52 (-4.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Toronto Raptors Injury report Raptors

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.