Wizards vs Suns prediction NBA · Sunday, January 11
At a glance
The Phoenix Suns (23-15) host the Washington Wizards (10-27) on Sunday, January 11 at 8:00 PM ET at Mortgage Matchup Center in NBA action. Final score: Wizards 93 – Suns 112. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Suns a 85% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Suns are 13-5 at home and the Wizards are 4-14 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Suns and 5-5 for the Wizards (current streaks: Suns W2, Wizards L2).
The analysis Model
The Suns start with a clear edge. The model projects Suns 122 – 109 Wizards, a margin of about 12.9 points in favor of the Suns and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+1.0 vs -9.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Suns' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
WSHPHX
Top performers
Wizards
Alex SarrC · #2019pts / game
Bub CarringtonG · #77assistsAlex SarrC · #2015reboundsSuns
Royce O'NealeF · #0019pts / game
Devin BookerG · #158assistsRoyce O'NealeF · #007reboundsRecent form
WSHPHX
PHX
Team comparison
| WSH | PHX | |
|---|---|---|
| 10-27 | Record | 23-15 |
| 112.0 | Points scored / game | 114.5 |
| 123.4 | Points allowed / game | 113.3 |
| -9.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.0 |
| L2 | Current streak | W2 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 8-2 |
| 4-14 road | Home / road record | 13-5 home |
| 18-64 (-12.4) | Last season | 36-46 (-3.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Wizards
Injury report Suns
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.