Suns vs Wizards prediction NBA · Monday, December 29
At a glance
The Washington Wizards (7-23) host the Phoenix Suns (18-13) on Monday, December 29 at 7:00 PM ET at Capital One Arena in NBA action. Final score: Suns 115 – Wizards 101. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Suns a 78% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Wizards are 4-10 at home and the Suns are 8-8 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Wizards and 6-4 for the Suns (current streaks: Wizards W2, Suns W3).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Suns dominate this matchup. The model projects Wizards 111 – 120 Suns, a margin of about 9.7 points in favor of the Suns and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Wizards played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-10.2 vs +0.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Suns' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PHXWSH
Top performers
Suns
Dillon BrooksF · #326pts / game
Collin GillespieG · #126assists
Oso IghodaroF · #1110reboundsWizards
Tre JohnsonG · #1224pts / game
CJ McCollumG · #34assists
Bilal CoulibalyG · #07reboundsRecent form
PHXWSH
PHX
Team comparison
| PHX | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-13 | Record | 7-23 |
| 114.7 | Points scored / game | 112.0 |
| 114.5 | Points allowed / game | 124.0 |
| +0.2 | Adjusted margin / game | -10.2 |
| W3 | Current streak | W2 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 8-8 road | Home / road record | 4-10 home |
| 36-46 (-3.0) | Last season | 18-64 (-12.4) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Suns
Injury report Wizards
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.