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Bucks vs Lakers prediction NBA · Friday, January 9

Finalcrypto.com Arena · Spectrum Sports Net, Spectrum Sports Net +, FanDuel SN WI, NBA TV
39% win MILwin LAL 61%
FavoriteLAL
Projected margin3.4
Projected total230
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Los Angeles Lakers (23-12) host the Milwaukee Bucks (16-21) on Friday, January 9 at 10:30 PM ET at crypto.com Arena in NBA action. Final score: Bucks 105 – Lakers 101. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Lakers a 61% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Lakers are 10-6 at home and the Bucks are 7-12 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Lakers and 5-5 for the Bucks (current streaks: Lakers L1, Bucks L1).

The analysis Model

The Lakers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Lakers 117 – 113 Bucks, a margin of about 3.4 points in favor of the Lakers and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Bucks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Lakers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAL +0.1 / MIL -1.0 per game
+1.1
Home-court advantageLakers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Lakers
+3.4

Scenarios

Lakers win by 10+
30%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Bucks win by 10+
14%

Stat comparison Current season

MILLAL
113.9
Points scored / game
115.6
115.0
Points allowed / game
115.4
44.9 %
Field goal %
52.9 %
34.0 %
3-point %
39.2 %
41.2
3-pointers attempted / game
36.2
71.6 %
Free throw %
79.1 %
49.8
Rebounds / game
38.0
24.6
Assists / game
24.0
5.8
Steals / game
10.8
4.0
Blocks / game
5.8
16.8
Turnovers / game
16.6

Top performers

Bucks
Kevin Porter Jr.G · #722pts / game
Kevin Porter Jr.G · #76assists
Bobby PortisF · #9512rebounds
Lakers
LeBron JamesF · #2326pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #2310assists
LeBron JamesF · #239rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MIL
No games played yet.
LAL
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

MILLAL
16-21Record23-12
113.9Points scored / game115.6
115.0Points allowed / game115.4
-1.0Adjusted margin / game+0.1
L1Current streakL1
5-5Last 10 games5-5
7-12 roadHome / road record10-6 home
48-34 (+2.5)Last season50-32 (+1.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Milwaukee Bucks Injury report Bucks

No injuries reported.

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.