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Lakers vs Bucks prediction NBA · Saturday, November 15

FinalFiserv Forum · Spectrum Sports Net, Spectrum Sports Net +, FanDuel SN WI, NBA TV
39% win LALwin MIL 61%
FavoriteMIL
Projected margin3.4
Projected total230
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Milwaukee Bucks (8-5) host the Los Angeles Lakers (9-4) on Saturday, November 15 at 8:00 PM ET at Fiserv Forum in NBA action. Final score: Lakers 119 – Bucks 95. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bucks a 61% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Bucks are 5-2 at home and the Lakers are 6-2 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Bucks and 7-3 for the Lakers (current streaks: Bucks W1, Lakers W1).

The analysis Model

The Bucks are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Bucks 117 – 113 Lakers, a margin of about 3.4 points in favor of the Bucks and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Bucks and the Lakers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Bucks' offense (118.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bucks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIL +1.7 / LAL +0.6 per game
+1.1
Home-court advantageBucks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bucks
+3.4

Scenarios

Bucks win by 10+
30%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Lakers win by 10+
14%

Stat comparison Current season

LALMIL
114.8
Points scored / game
118.0
114.1
Points allowed / game
116.0
52.9 %
Field goal %
44.9 %
39.2 %
3-point %
34.0 %
36.2
3-pointers attempted / game
41.2
79.1 %
Free throw %
71.6 %
38.0
Rebounds / game
49.8
24.0
Assists / game
24.6
10.8
Steals / game
5.8
5.8
Blocks / game
4.0
16.6
Turnovers / game
16.8

Top performers

Lakers
Luka DoncicG · #7741pts / game
Austin ReavesG · #158assists
Deandre AytonC · #810rebounds
Bucks
Giannis AntetokounmpoF · #732pts / game
Cole AnthonyG · #507assists
Giannis AntetokounmpoF · #710rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
LAL
No games played yet.
MIL
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

LALMIL
9-4Record8-5
114.8Points scored / game118.0
114.1Points allowed / game116.0
+0.6Adjusted margin / game+1.7
W1Current streakW1
7-3Last 10 games6-4
6-2 roadHome / road record5-2 home
50-32 (+1.2)Last season48-34 (+2.5)
YesPlayed yesterdayYes

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

Milwaukee Bucks Injury report Bucks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.