Hawks vs Nuggets prediction NBA · Friday, January 9
At a glance
The Denver Nuggets (25-12) host the Atlanta Hawks (18-21) on Friday, January 9 at 9:00 PM ET at Ball Arena in NBA action. Final score: Hawks 110 – Nuggets 87. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 73% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Nuggets are 10-5 at home and the Hawks are 11-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Nuggets and 3-7 for the Hawks (current streaks: Nuggets W2, Hawks W1).
The analysis Model
The Nuggets start with a clear edge. The model projects Nuggets 124 – 116 Hawks, a margin of about 7.8 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 239 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+4.7 vs -0.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Hawks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (123.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
ATLDEN
Top performers
Hawks
Jalen JohnsonF · #129pts / game
Dyson DanielsG · #510assistsDyson DanielsG · #511reboundsNuggets
Peyton WatsonG · #825pts / game
Jalen PickettG · #216assistsPeyton WatsonG · #811reboundsRecent form
ATLDEN
DEN
Team comparison
| ATL | DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-21 | Record | 25-12 |
| 118.4 | Points scored / game | 123.3 |
| 119.3 | Points allowed / game | 117.8 |
| -0.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.7 |
| W1 | Current streak | W2 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 11-10 road | Home / road record | 10-5 home |
| 40-42 (-1.1) | Last season | 50-32 (+3.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Hawks
Injury report Nuggets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.