Nuggets vs Hawks prediction NBA · Friday, December 5
At a glance
The Atlanta Hawks (13-10) host the Denver Nuggets (15-6) on Friday, December 5 at 7:30 PM ET at State Farm Arena in NBA action. Final score: Nuggets 134 – Hawks 133. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 61% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hawks are 4-5 at home and the Nuggets are 9-2 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Hawks and 6-4 for the Nuggets (current streaks: Hawks L2, Nuggets W1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Nuggets, but the Hawks have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Hawks 117 – 120 Nuggets, a margin of about 3.5 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 237 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+0.3 vs +6.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Hawks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (123.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DENATL
Top performers
Nuggets
Nikola JokicC · #1540pts / game
Jamal MurrayG · #2712assistsNikola JokicC · #159reboundsHawks
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG · #730pts / game
Jalen JohnsonF · #116assistsJalen JohnsonF · #118reboundsRecent form
DENATL
DEN
Team comparison
| DEN | ATL | |
|---|---|---|
| 15-6 | Record | 13-10 |
| 123.5 | Points scored / game | 117.3 |
| 116.3 | Points allowed / game | 117.0 |
| +6.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.3 |
| W1 | Current streak | L2 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 9-2 road | Home / road record | 4-5 home |
| 50-32 (+3.9) | Last season | 40-42 (-1.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Nuggets
Injury report Hawks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.