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Cavaliers vs Timberwolves prediction NBA · Thursday, January 8

FinalTarget Center · FanDuel SN OH, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN North
39% win CLEwin MIN 61%
FavoriteMIN
Projected margin3.4
Projected total233
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Minnesota Timberwolves (24-13) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (21-17) on Thursday, January 8 at 8:00 PM ET at Target Center in NBA action. Final score: Cavaliers 122 – Timberwolves 131. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 61% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Timberwolves are 13-6 at home and the Cavaliers are 8-8 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Timberwolves and 6-4 for the Cavaliers (current streaks: Timberwolves W3, Cavaliers W1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Timberwolves, but the Cavaliers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Timberwolves 118 – 115 Cavaliers, a margin of about 3.4 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Cavaliers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Timberwolves
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIN +4.6 / CLE +3.5 per game
+1.1
Home-court advantageTimberwolves at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Timberwolves
+3.4

Scenarios

Timberwolves win by 10+
30%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Cavaliers win by 10+
14%

Stat comparison Current season

CLEMIN
119.9
Points scored / game
118.3
115.7
Points allowed / game
112.9
46.8 %
Field goal %
47.3 %
36.7 %
3-point %
38.4 %
37.5
3-pointers attempted / game
40.6
79.3 %
Free throw %
62.7 %
47.0
Rebounds / game
51.6
26.3
Assists / game
27.0
8.8
Steals / game
9.2
7.5
Blocks / game
4.4
17.3
Turnovers / game
16.2

Top performers

Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4530pts / game
Donovan MitchellG · #458assists
Jarrett AllenC · #3110rebounds
Timberwolves
Julius RandleF · #3028pts / game
Anthony EdwardsG · #59assists
Rudy GobertC · #2713rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CLE
No games played yet.
MIN
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

CLEMIN
21-17Record24-13
119.9Points scored / game118.3
115.7Points allowed / game112.9
+3.5Adjusted margin / game+4.6
W1Current streakW3
6-4Last 10 games7-3
8-8 roadHome / road record13-6 home
64-18 (+9.5)Last season49-33 (+5.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury report Timberwolves

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.